Win-win sports betting strategies exist only in dreams and with scammers. But there are schemes with minimal risk.
If there is a win-win sports betting strategy, why aren't all players using it? Ask yourself this question before looking for some kind of win-win scheme. Yes, in theory such betting strategies are possible. We'll look at examples of them. But in reality, it is better to focus on finding ways to minimize risks.
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Win-win sports betting strategy: finding surebets
Win-win sports bets are bets in which the outcome of the event is not important for making a profit. This situation is called a fork.
The player makes a bet on two or more outcomes so that he will make a profit in any case.
For example, in a tennis match there are equal opponents. For many years, meetings of Nadal and Federer belonged to such duels. For such players, one could most often find overestimated odds.
Imagine that in one office Nadal won odds of 2.10, and in another, Federer won 2.08.
We place two bets on opposite outcomes of 1000 rubles each. One of them will surely win, let's say the first one:
Payment on the first rate - 2100 rubles, net profit - 1100 rubles;
Losing on the second - 1000 rubles;
The net profit for the surebet is 100 rubles.
There are special programs to search for such arbitration situations, online resources are working. You can bet on the opposite outcome more than ten times daily.
But the use of surebets in bookmakers will not bring stable profits over the long run and may even lead to losses.
Bookmakers calculate surebets and apply different sanctions:
limit the size of the maximum bets;
canceled the placed bets.
Ultimately, the investment of time and resources to make money on surebets rarely pays off.
Such a theoretically win-win betting strategy can fail in the following situation:
The catch-up strategy in betting: myths and reality
Back in the 19th century, casino players invented numerous financial systems leading to inevitable profit.
Such schemes work according to the catch-up principle: you need to increase each next bet so that the winnings cover all previous losses and bring profit.
Dogon is based on a simple axiom of probability theory: if two opposite events happen with equal chances, each of them will necessarily happen in a series of repetitions.
So, when playing roulette, you can constantly bet on red, and it will fall out someday. However, the casino will not allow you to do this and will simply ask you to get up from the table.
In a bookmaker's office, the catch-up strategy is theoretically suitable for betting on football, tennis, basketball and other sports.
For example, in the English Premier League in the 2019/2020 season, West Ham performed worse than experts expected. Therefore, the odds on his wins were almost always above 2.00.
Let's form a series of catch-up:
bet 1000 rubles on West Ham's victory in the match against Manchester City on February 19, 2020 with a coefficient of 18.00 - loss;
2000 to win against Liverpool on February 24 at 16.00 odds - loss;
4000 to win over Southampton on February 29 at 2.50 odds - a win. The match ended 3-1 in favor of West Ham.
We consider the received profit:
in the first two bets, 3000 rubles are lost;
payment on the won bet - 10,000 rubles, and the net profit - 6,000 rubles;
6000 - 3000 = 3000 rubles - net profit for the series of catch-up.
But this is only in theory, everything is so simple. In reality, a losing streak of bets can drag on for a long time, and a multiple increase in the amount of the bet will quickly lead to the drain of the game bank.
In addition, bookmakers limit limits or even block accounts for players suspected of using catch-up. Therefore, such sports betting strategies will not bring the desired result in reality.