Newbies lose money out of the blue due to overloads in betting. Finding out how to benefit from changing odds
Projections help make money out of thin air: you bet on the same outcome as others, but with a higher odds. You need to know when to bet a few days before the match, and in what cases, 5-10 minutes before the start of the game. In this article, we will analyze what a load is, its types, the effect on the odds, and four betting strategies.
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What are betting loads
Loss in bets is a decrease in the coefficient for one of the outcomes due to the large number of bets on this choice.
Due to the overload, bookmakers reduce the odds by one outcome and raise them by the opposite.
For example, in the football match “Atalanta” - “Roma” bookmakers set odds of 1.90 for total goals over 3.5 and 1.85 for total goals under 3.5.
Due to the large number of bets on the horse outcome, the bookmakers have adjusted the line: 1.65 for TB 3.5 and 2.20 for TM 3.5
The main types of loads for sporting events
Organized: Bets due to leaked match-fixing information or predicted by a famous capper. For example, in the hockey match "Traktor" - "Neftekhimik" the expert suggests taking the total pucks over 4.5, and the players follow his advice.
Unorganized: Betting on a clear favorite. Let's imagine that in a tennis match Roger Federer - Alexander Bublik the players load onto the Swiss. Therefore, the bookmaker reduces the odds for the favorite to win.
Geoprocess: bets based on fan preferences. For example, in a football match Russia - Spain, most Russians are betting on the hosts, regardless of the odds.
Odds changes before a football match
Please note that the coefficients change not only due to the load. There are other reasons as well:
The coach retained one or more key players.
The media reported additional information: the match without spectators, the meeting was moved to another stadium, and so on.
A player from one of the teams will miss the match due to injury or disqualification.
In a meeting between a clear favorite and a clear outsider due to a load, the bookmaker will reduce the odds for the favorite. Bet an outsider with a handicap for odds of about 1.70-1.95.
Let's imagine that in a match between Bayern and Schalke, the odds for guests with a handicap (2.5) increased from 1.60 to 1.90. With a bet of 1,000 rubles, the potential payout is 1,900 rubles: 1,000 x 1.90. Favorite
If the home favorite accepts an outsider and sets up a second line-up, the players can load the away win. Bet on the favorite to win or draw, that is, on 1X for odds of 1.50 or more.
For example, in the Liverpool v Everton match, the 1X home odds increased from 1.15 to 1.55. With a bet of 1,000 rubles, the potential payout is 1,550 rubles: 1,000 x 1.55.
When betting at bookmakers, use the loads to your advantage. If you are sure that the majority will bet on the favorite to win, it is more profitable to bet on the reverse outcome of the match 5-10 minutes before the start of the meeting.
To make a profit, you must assess the odds correctly. Forecasts will help you play at high odds.
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