Soft catch-up in sports betting: what it is and how to play this strategy
Soft catch-up increases the probability of winning, but it is more risky than the classic one. How is this possible? In this article, we will analyze the soft catch-up strategy and the formula for calculating the bet according to this scheme.
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Financial strategy Martingale
Martingale is a strategy according to which the player, after each defeat, must double the amount of the bet until the time when the series of failures is interrupted.
Each time the focus on the event by a factor of 2.00. If you win the profit will be equal to the first rate, taking into account the sum of all the previous losses.
This strategy is called classic dogon. Let's consider it on the example of several matches.
For example, your bank has 100,000 rubles, and the first bet is 4,000 rubles. The results might look like this:
| Bet amount | Coefficient | Result | Bank size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4000 | 2.00 | Losing | 96,000 |
| 8000 | 2.00 | Losing | 88,000 |
| 16,000 | 2.00 | Losing | 72,000 |
| 32,000 | 2.00 | Losing | 40,000 |
It is dangerous to start betting more than 1% of the pot on the first try. Each time we increase the amount of the bet, and a series of several losses in a row can lead to the loss of the entire pot.
Read more about where the Martingale strategy came from here: Martingale strategy in sports betting: catching up safely or losing system
Soft catch-up in sports betting
By applying the soft catch-up strategy, you take a lower odds on the next selection if the previous bet did not work.
Calculate the amount of the bet using the formula :
(target profit + amount of defeats) / (coefficient - 1).
Let's imagine that you have 25,000 rubles, and the target profit is 500 rubles. The results might look like this:
| Bet amount | Coefficient | Result | Bank size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 500 | 2.00 | Losing | 24,500 |
| 1250 | 1.80 | Losing | 23250 |
| 3215 | 1.70 | Losing | 20,035 |
| 10930 | 1.50 | Winnings | 25,500 |
In the above example, we were able to interrupt the losing streak, but another failure could lead to the loss of the entire pot.
Read more about catch-up strategy in football and other sports here:
Double catch-up on totals
You find a team in whose meetings one of the totals has entered three or more times: TM 2.5 or TB 2.5. Bet on the end of the series, and in case of failure, alternate your choice, increasing the size of the bet according to the soft catch-up strategy.
For example, your game bank is 10,000 rubles, and the desired profit is 500 rubles. The results might look like this:
| Bet amount | Choice | Coefficient | Result | Bank size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 556 | TB 2.5 | 1.90 | Losing | 9444 |
| 1195 | TM 2.5 | 1.80 | Losing | 8249 |
| 2370 | TB 2.5 | 1.95 | Losing | 5879 |
| 5437 | TM 2.5 | 1.85 | Winnings | 10,500 |
Playing according to the soft catch-up strategy, the amount of each next bet is more than doubled. In theory, you have a better chance of breaking a streak of failures, but multiple losses in a row will result in the loss of the entire pot.
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