Basketball Betting Strategy: Winning the Match and the Quarters Live
The favorite in basketball is usually bet with odds below 1.70. At a distance, you will go into negative territory due to margin and sensations. In this article, we will learn how to choose matches for betting on favorites in basketball and increase the odds due to the handicap.
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How to choose matches to bet on a favorite in basketball
In the strategy of betting on basketball on the favorite, the pre-match selection of games is important. It makes no sense to bet on a strong team with odds of 1.10-1.40.
At a distance, such strategies for betting on the favorites to win lead to a minus.
When selecting matches, find encounters where the favorite is highly likely to win with a handicap of ten points or more.
Various factors contribute to this.
- The favorite plays at home and wants to please his fans.
- The hosts lost in the last match and want to rehabilitate themselves.
- All key performers of the favorite came up to the match in good shape.
- The hosts have tournament motivation.
- The home team wins many matches in a row and wants to set the club record for winning streak.
- Increased motivation of the coach - a possible resignation due to a defeat, an unconvincing game, or vice versa - the upcoming signing of a new contract.
How to bet on basketball: How to bet on basketball live and before the match: seven popular strategies for newbies
Basketball betting strategy on the favorite of the game
To make the distance betting strategy on the favorite profitable, raise the odds to the level of 2.50-3.50. This is done using a negative handicap.
If the favorite has a coefficient to win the match of 1.50-1.60, then the handicap from (-6) to (-8) will go for about 2.50-2.70. The ability to choose the right game will play a special role.
For example, let's take the Euroleague match Khimki - Fenerbahce, which took place on March 6, 2020. Khimki played at home and were considered favorites.
Their victory was given a coefficient of 1.60. But with a handicap (-7) it was possible to bet for 2.50, and with a handicap (-8) - for 2.80.
These ratios were significant for a number of factors:
- The hosts were in good shape: they won several matches in the VTB United League and in the Euroleague.
- Khimki wanted to rehabilitate themselves for the annoying defeat in the previous round of the Euroleague against Zalgiris.
- All the players of the starting five of the Russian team came up to the match in excellent shape.
Therefore, a bet with a handicap (-7) or (-8) was justified. As a result, Khimki won 82-68.
Basketball betting strategies by quarter: How to bet on basketball live and before the match: seven popular strategies for newbies
Basketball Favorite Quarter Betting
Another opportunity to catch good odds is betting on the favorite in basketball quarters.
Two options are most often used here:
- A bet with a negative handicap on the first quarter. The favorite can create an advantage at the very beginning of the match.
- A bet on the favorite to win in one of the quarters in live. If an outsider wins during the match, you can check the favorite with a handicap in the next game segment.
We will also analyze both of these strategies for betting on basketball by quarters using the example of the above-mentioned match between Khimki and Fenerbahce:
- For the first quarter, the “Home win with a handicap (-3.5)” bet was made with a coefficient of 2.50. She played as this ten-minute ended 26-18.
- Khimki lost the second ten minutes with a score of 15-22. In the next quarters, the hosts should have improved. Therefore, in the third, Khimki's victory was 1.40. But the handicap (-4.5) was available for 2.40. Such a live bet would be winning, as the result of the quarter is 23-14 in favor of the hosts.
Thus, in one game, it was possible to make three reasonable bets on the favorite. By winning the match, the home team would have made a good profit.
But if the bet on the first quarter was lost, it was possible to gain profit in the next ten minutes in live.
Basketball is suitable for betting on favorites due to the choice of live events: quarters, half, the whole match and possible overtime.
Learn to pick games where the stronger opponent is most motivated to win big.
Check out some of our best betting software. They will provide you with detailed analysis of each match with high visibility of the results in each match.