Fixed Income Strategy in Sports Betting: Principles and Forecast Formula
Fixed Income betting is one of the main reasons for beginner failures. Dreaming of a stable income, players forget about the disadvantages of the strategy.
With a fixed income strategy, you plan your income in advance, but this does not mean that you will receive it. In this article, we will analyze what a fixed-profit betting strategy is, determine how to calculate the bet amount, and also consider the pros and cons of this system.
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What is a fixed income betting strategy
The fixed profit strategy is a strategy according to which the amount of net profit is planned, and the size of the bet is selected depending on the coefficient. The strategy of betting "fixed profit" is reduced to the player's plan to earn a specific amount from each successful bet. The size of the bet is subject to change. The point is to fix the income from the forecast. This is the difference of this system from other strategies, in particular from flat, where the player bets the same amount under any conditions.
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How to calculate the amount of fixed income
Decide what percentage of the bank will become net profit. With 10,000 rubles, it is rash to count on 1,000 rubles of profit - if you fail several times in a row, you risk losing all your capital. Stick to bankroll management principles. Bankroll management - money management rules that you are ready to use in gambling. The chosen percentage depends on how dynamic the growth and fall of the bank will be after winning or losing.
The Championship recommends a range of 2-5%, that is, a fixed profit strategy of 1,000 rubles is adequate with a bank of 50,000 rubles. Focus on this percentage of the bank.
Fixed Income Strategy Bet Size Formula
The function of the dependence of the bet amount on the odds and the desired profit as follows: S = C / (K - 1), where S is the bet amount, C is the desired profit, K is the coefficient . The formula is simple, let's look at it with a specific example. Let's imagine that in the match "Real" - "Barcelona" bookmakers give the following odds: W1 for 2.15, X for 3.20, W2 for 3.35.
Let's calculate the size of the bet with the desired profit of 1000 rubles and the forecast for the victory of Real Madrid: 1000 / (2.15 - 1) = 870 rubles. If the desired profit on the victory of "Real" in 1000 rubles, you need to bet 870 rubles. The payment will be 1871, net profit - 1001 rubles. Consider the bet amounts if you are confident that Barcelona will win or predict a draw: On Barcelona's victory: 1000 / (3.35 - 1) = the stake will be equal to 426 rubles. On a draw: 1000 / (3.20 - 1) = the stake will be equal to 455 rubles In these formulas, the bet and net profit amounts are rounded.
The mathematics of betting on football and other sports:
how to beat the bookmaker using algorithms Fixed profit in betting: pros and cons Advantages: The strategy is convenient and understandable for beginners. If you are just starting out in betting and want to improve your bankroll management skills, a fixed income strategy will help you learn the basic laws of the game.
This system does not depend on the coefficient and the type of sport. The system is suitable for high odds betting. Example: a player bets on the victory of the underdog in four matches with the odds of 7.00, one call is enough to recoup the investment and get a profit. If the calculation for earnings is 1000 rubles, then the bet amount will be 167 rubles: 1000 / (7.00 - 1). The costs will be 668 rubles: 167 x 4, and one successful bet will bring a net profit of 1000 rubles.
This is our advantage over the line. Disadvantages: The strategy is not suitable for a player who prefers to play at odds less than 2.00. Example: following the strategy of a fixed profit of 1000 rubles, the player bets on Zenit not to lose in the match with Akhmat with a coefficient of 1.10, and in case of failure he may lose 10,000 rubles: 1000 / (1.10 - 1). Even one such loss will seriously hit the bank. The system does not guarantee winnings and limits the amount of net profit.
The fixed profit strategy can be criticized for not increasing the likelihood of entry. The player must be patient and not jump out of the profit margin of 2-5% of the bank. According to the fixed profit strategy, the main success factor is high-quality pre-match analysis. Put your betting simulator to the test before playing for real money. If the strategy will give a plus at a distance of at least 100 bets, you can move on to betting on money.